Our baffling new multipolar world grows ever more complex, desperately calling for new ways of thinking, particularly when it comes to political risk. To Dare More Boldly provides those ways, telling the story of the rise of political risk analysis, both as a discipline and a lucrative high-stakes industry that guides the strategic decisions of corporations and governments around the world. It assesses why recent predictions have gone so wrong and boldly puts forward ten analytical commandments that can stand the test of time. Written by one of the field's leading practitioners, this incisive book derives these indelible rules of the game from a wide-ranging and entertaining survey of world history. John Hulsman looks at examples as seemingly unconnected as the ancient Greeks and Romans, the Third Crusade, the Italian Renaissance, America's founders, Napoleon, the Battle of Gettysburg, the British Empire, the Kaiser's Germany, the breakup of the Beatles, Charles Manson, and Deng Xiaoping's China. Hulsman makes sense of yesterday's world, and in doing so provides an invaluable conceptual tool kit for navigating today's. To Dare More Boldly creatively explains why political risk analysis is vital for business and political leaders alike, and authoritatively establishes the analytical rules of thumb that practitioners need to do it effectively.

480 BC: Introduction- The First Political Risk Analysis: The Pythia of Delphi
1. the Pythia as the worlds first political risk consultant
2. the pythia masters the persians
3. the merits of history
4. a potted history of the modern political risk business
5. hans morgenthau, Realism, and modern geopolitical risk
31 AD: The Decline and the fall of Roman Empire
1. Edward Gibbon and how political risk
2. Rise of Sejanus and the fall of roman empire
3. Tragedy in france and the europe decline
4. Karl- Theodor zu guttenberg and germany distrust of success
1192 AD: Gaming out lunatics
1503 AD: Machiavelli, Cesare Borgia, and Pope Julius II
1776: John Adams
1. Political Miracle of the Fourth July
1797: Napoleon and the Venetian Republic
1863: Robert E. Lee at Gettysburg
1895: Lord Salisbury Saves the British empire
1898-1912: Von Tirpitz disastrously Builds a navy
1970: Rise of George Harrison
1978: Deng Xiaoping and the perils of a drunken sea captain