01525nam a2200217   4500008004100000020001800041037002600059041001200085082001800097100002200115245005400137250000600191260003200197300000800229500088800237650001201125650002001137650002301157650004401180650008301224260207b        |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d  a9780141026473  cGiftednIssac D. Paul  aEnglish  a519.2bMLO/DR  aMlodinow, Leonard  aDRUNKARD'S WALKb: How Randomness Rules Our Lives  a1  aLondonbPenguin Booksc2009  g252  aLeonard Mlodinow's The Drunkard's Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives is an exhilarating, eye-opening guide to understanding our random world. Randomness and uncertainty surround everything we do. So why are we so bad at understanding them? The same tools that help us understand the random paths of molecules can be applied to the randomness that governs so many aspects of our everyday lives, from winning the lottery to road safety, and reveals the truth about the success of sporting heroes and film stars, and even how to make sense of a blood test. The Drunkard's Walk reveals the psychological illusions that prevent us understanding everything from stock-picking to wine-tasting - read it, or risk becoming another victim of chance. 'A wonderfully readable guide to how the mathematical laws of randomness affect our lives' Stephen Hawking, author of A Brief History of Time  aChance.  aProbabilities.   a Random variables.  aProbability theory — Popular works.    aCognitive biases in probability interpretation (implicit in thematic catalogs)